Risk analysis: assessment, management and communication
Risk analysis (Codex, FAO/WHO) has three parts: risk assessment, risk management and risk communication. A hazard can cause harm; risk is how likely and how severe that harm is.
Hazard vs risk
Risk = likelihood × severity. A hazard that is well controlled carries very little risk.
The three parts of risk analysis
- back to Risk assessment (science)
Risk assessment is kept separate from risk management so that policy does not bend the science. Communication runs through both.
The three components
| Component | What it does | Who does it | Example |
|---|---|---|---|
| Risk assessment | Scientific evaluation of the harm a hazard can cause, in 4 steps: hazard identification, hazard characterisation (dose-response), exposure assessment, risk characterisation | Scientists: JECFA, JMPR and JEMRA internationally; FSSAI's Scientific Committee and Panels in India | JECFA sets an acceptable daily intake (ADI) for a food additive |
| Risk management | Weighs options using the assessment and other factors (cost, practicality); chooses and applies controls; monitors and reviews them | Regulators (Codex Commission, FSSAI); food businesses in their own plants | A maximum limit for aflatoxin; a ban on a harmful colour; a product recall |
| Risk communication | Two-way exchange of information and opinions about risk among assessors, managers, consumers, industry and others | Regulators, industry, media, health workers | Labels with storage advice, public advisories, Eat Right India messages, a recall notice |
Activity: risk scoring in an idli batter unit
A small unit grinds rice and urad dal, ferments the batter and packs it in 1 kg pouches. Score each hazard for likelihood (1 = rare, 2 = possible, 3 = likely) and severity (1 = minor, 2 = moderate, 3 = serious). Risk score = likelihood × severity. Bands: 1-2 low, 3-4 medium, 6-9 high.
- Unsafe water used for grinding (E. coli): 2 × 3 = 6 → high.
- Bacillus cereus growth if the batter is left warm after fermentation: 3 × 2 = 6 → high.
- Staphylococcus aureus from bare hands during packing: 2 × 2 = 4 → medium.
- Small stones in urad dal: 2 × 2 = 4 → medium.
- Detergent residue left on the grinder: 1 × 2 = 2 → low.
Two high risks: unsafe water (6) and warm batter (6). Control them strictly: use potable water tested regularly, and refrigerate the batter soon after fermentation and keep it cold until sale. Handle the medium risks by hygiene, gloves and cleaning of dal; the low risk by rinsing after cleaning. The scores are whole numbers, so no rounding is needed; they are the team's judgement and must be agreed together.
Activity: risk analysis for a food processing unit (assignment steps)
Each step is linked to its formal name in brackets.
- 1Choose the unit and product; draw the process flow chart.
- 2★List the hazards at each step: biological, chemical, physical and allergens.Hazard identification
- 3Describe how harmful each hazard is and who could be affected.Hazard characterisation
- 4Estimate how much of the hazard a consumer could take in, and how often.Exposure assessment
- 5★Score likelihood × severity and rank the risks as high, medium or low.Risk characterisation
- 6★Choose controls for the high and medium risks: CCPs, GMP, training.Risk management
- 7Plan how risks will be explained: staff training, labels with storage advice, a complaint and recall procedure.Risk communication
- 8Review the analysis every year, and whenever the process, supplier or product changes.
★ one-way, controls the pace
A dietitian in a hospital diet kitchen uses risk thinking every day: raw sprouts, runny eggs and unpasteurised juice carry a higher risk for pregnant women, infants, the elderly and patients with weak immunity, so these foods are cooked well or left out of their diets.
2 marks: “Differentiate hazard and risk.” A hazard is an agent in food that can cause harm. Risk is the likelihood and severity of harm from that hazard.
5 marks: “Explain the components of risk analysis.” Define; draw the three-part model; risk assessment (4 steps), risk management and risk communication, each with who does it and an example.
10 marks: “Describe how you would carry out a risk analysis for a food processing unit.” Hazard vs risk; the three components; the assignment steps linked to the four assessment steps; a risk-score table for an Indian product; controls and communication; review; close.
Risk analysis = A-M-C: Assess (science), Manage (decide), Communicate (talk). Assessment steps are I-C-E-R: Identify the hazard, Characterise it, Exposure, Risk characterisation.