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Unit XIV · Probability
7 min readConcept sheet1-mark MCQ; a 2-mark question on two or three coins

Tossing coins: one, two and three

One coin has 2 outcomes, two coins 4 (HH, HT, TH, TT) and three coins 8. List them all, then count the favourable ones.

One coin2 outcomes: H, T
Two coins (or one coin tossed twice)4 outcomes: HH, HT, TH, TT
Three coins8 outcomes: HHH, HHT, HTH, THH, HTT, THT, TTH, TTT
PatternEach extra coin doubles the outcomes: 2, 4, 8

Why HT and TH are different

Toss a ₹ 1 coin and a ₹ 2 coin together. 'Head on ₹ 1, tail on ₹ 2' is not the same as 'tail on ₹ 1, head on ₹ 2'. So HT and TH are two different outcomes. With two coins there are 4 equally likely outcomes, not 3. Tossing one coin twice gives the same 4 outcomes.

Two coins: counting events

EventFavourable outcomesProbability
Two headsHH1/4
Exactly one headHT, TH2/4 = 1/2
At least one headHH, HT, TH3/4
At most one headHT, TH, TT3/4
No headTT1/4

Worked example 1: two coins

Problem

Two coins are tossed together. Find the probability of getting at least one tail.

Working
  1. Formula: P(E) = favourable outcomes ÷ total outcomes.
  2. All outcomes: HH, HT, TH, TT. Total = 4.
  3. 'At least one tail' means one or more tails: HT, TH, TT. That is 3 outcomes.
  4. P(at least one tail) = 3/4.
  5. Check with the complement: 'no tail' is HH only, so P = 1 − 1/4 = 3/4.
Answer

P(at least one tail) = 3/4.

Worked example 2: a coin game at a mela

Problem

At a village mela, a coin is tossed three times. Ravi wins a prize if exactly two heads appear. Find the probability that he wins, and the probability that he does not.

Working
  1. Formula: P(E) = favourable outcomes ÷ total outcomes.
  2. All 8 outcomes: HHH, HHT, HTH, THH, HTT, THT, TTH, TTT.
  3. Exactly two heads: HHT, HTH, THH. That is 3 outcomes.
  4. P(win) = 3/8.
  5. P(not win) = 1 − 3/8 = 5/8.
Answer

P(win) = 3/8; P(not win) = 5/8.

Key words in coin questions

  • At least one head: one or more heads.
  • At most one head: zero heads or one head.
  • Exactly two heads: two heads, no more and no less.
  • No head: all tails.
  • Tossing one coin twice gives the same outcomes as tossing two coins once.
In real life

Before a cricket match, the captains toss a coin because heads and tails are equally likely. That makes the choice of batting or bowling first fair to both teams.

Exam angle

1 marks: “A coin is tossed twice. Find the probability of getting two tails.” Outcomes: HH, HT, TH, TT. Only TT is favourable, so P = 1/4.

2 marks: “Three coins are tossed together. Find the probability of getting at least two heads.” 8 outcomes. At least two heads: HHH, HHT, HTH, THH (4). P = 4/8 = 1/2.

2 marks: “Two coins are tossed. Find the probability of getting one head and one tail.” Favourable: HT, TH (2) of 4 outcomes. P = 2/4 = 1/2.

Remember it

Coins double: 1 coin gives 2, 2 coins give 4, 3 coins give 8. Always list HT and TH separately.