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Unit XIV · Probability
8 min readConcept sheet1-mark MCQ; a 2-mark, 3-mark or 5-mark question with several parts

Drawing a card from a pack of 52

A pack has 52 cards in 4 suits of 13. Two suits are red, two black. Kings, queens and jacks are the 12 face cards.

Pack52 cards: 4 suits × 13 cards
Colours26 red (hearts ♥, diamonds ♦) and 26 black (spades ♠, clubs ♣)
Face cards12: the king, queen and jack of each suit
Each suitAce, 2 to 10, jack, queen, king

What is in a pack of 52 cards

GroupHow manyP(drawing one)
Any one suit, e.g. hearts1313/52 = 1/4
Red cards (or black cards)2626/52 = 1/2
Face cards (K, Q, J)1212/52 = 3/13
Kings (or queens, jacks, aces)44/52 = 1/13
Red face cards66/52 = 3/26
One particular card, e.g. the queen of spades11/52

Worked example 1: one card, three events

Problem

One card is drawn from a well-shuffled pack of 52 cards. Find the probability that it is (i) a black king, (ii) not a face card, (iii) a diamond.

Working
  1. Formula: P(E) = favourable outcomes ÷ total outcomes. Total = 52.
  2. Black kings: king of spades, king of clubs (2). P = 2/52 = 1/26.
  3. Face cards = 12, so cards that are not face cards = 52 − 12 = 40. P = 40/52 = 10/13.
  4. Diamonds = 13. P = 13/52 = 1/4.
Answer

(i) 1/26, (ii) 10/13, (iii) 1/4.

Worked example 2: cards removed from the pack

Problem

All four kings are removed from a pack of 52 cards. One card is drawn from the remaining cards. Find the probability that it is (i) a queen, (ii) a red card, (iii) a face card.

Working
  1. Cards left = 52 − 4 = 48. So total outcomes = 48.
  2. Formula: P(E) = favourable outcomes ÷ 48.
  3. All 4 queens are still there. P(queen) = 4/48 = 1/12.
  4. Red cards left: 26 − 2 red kings = 24. P(red) = 24/48 = 1/2.
  5. Face cards left: 12 − 4 kings = 8. P(face card) = 8/48 = 1/6.
Answer

(i) 1/12, (ii) 1/2, (iii) 1/6.

Face card or not?

Face cards (12)The king, queen and jack of each suit. Each shows a picture of a person.
Not face cards (40)The ace and 2 to 10 of each suit. The ace is not a face card.

Read 'red face card' carefully: only hearts and diamonds count, so there are 6.

Card questions: a checklist

  • Write the total first: 52, or fewer if some cards are removed.
  • Count each group from the table: a suit has 13, a colour 26, face cards 12, each rank 4.
  • If two groups overlap, like hearts and kings, count the shared card only once.
  • For 'not' questions, subtract from the total or use 1 − P(E).
  • Simplify every fraction fully.
In real life

Many families play cards during holidays, and teachers use a pack to explain chance. A well-shuffled pack gives every one of the 52 cards the same chance of being drawn.

Exam angle

1 marks: “A card is drawn from a well-shuffled pack of 52 cards. Find the probability that it is a red queen.” There are 2 red queens (hearts and diamonds) in 52 cards. P = 2/52 = 1/26.

2 marks: “A card is drawn from a pack of 52 cards. Find the probability that it is neither a king nor a queen.” Kings and queens together = 8, so the others = 44. P = 44/52 = 11/13.

3 marks: “The jack, queen and king of clubs are removed from a pack of 52 cards. A card is drawn from the rest. Find the probability that it is (i) a club, (ii) a face card, (iii) a black card.” Total = 52 − 3 = 49. (i) Clubs left = 10, so 10/49. (ii) Face cards left = 9, so 9/49. (iii) Black cards left = 23, so 23/49.

Remember it

52 = 4 × 13. Red 26, black 26, faces 12 (K, Q, J), each rank 4. The ace has no face.