Random experiments, sample space and events
A random experiment has known outcomes but an unpredictable result. The sample space S lists every outcome, and an event is any subset of S.
Experiments and sample space
An experiment is an action with well-defined results. In a deterministic experiment the result is known in advance: heating water to 100 °C at sea level makes it boil. In a random experiment we know all the possible results but cannot say which one will happen in a single try: tossing a coin, rolling a die. Each possible result is an outcome or sample point. The set of all outcomes is the sample space S. Any subset of S is an event.
Types of events
| Type | Meaning | Example (one die rolled) |
|---|---|---|
| Equally likely events | Each has the same chance of happening | Getting 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 or 6 on a fair die |
| Certain (sure) event | Always happens; it is S itself | Getting a number less than 7 |
| Impossible event | Never happens; it is the empty set ∅ | Getting 8 |
| Mutually exclusive events | Cannot happen together: A ∩ B = ∅ | Getting an odd number and getting an even number |
| Exhaustive events | Together they cover all of S | {1, 2, 3} and {3, 4, 5, 6} |
| Complementary events | Mutually exclusive and exhaustive: A and Ā | {1, 2} and {3, 4, 5, 6} |
| Simple (elementary) event | Has only one outcome | Getting 5 |
Sample spaces to know
- One coin: {H, T}. Two coins: {HH, HT, TH, TT}. Three coins: 8 outcomes.
- One die: {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}. Two dice: 6 × 6 = 36 outcomes, from (1, 1), (1, 2) up to (6, 6).
- n coins give 2ⁿ outcomes; n dice give 6ⁿ outcomes.
- A pack of 52 cards has 4 suits of 13 cards: spades and clubs (black), hearts and diamonds (red). Each suit has A, 2 to 10, J, Q and K. The 12 face cards are the J, Q and K of each suit.
How to draw a tree diagram
Example: a coin is tossed and then a die is rolled.
- 1Draw a dot on the left for the start.
- 2Draw one branch for each outcome of the first action and label them H and T.
- 3From the end of each branch, draw six branches for the die and label them 1 to 6.
- 4Read each path from left to right to write an outcome: H1, H2, and so on up to T6.
- 5Count the paths: 2 × 6 = 12 outcomes, so n(S) = 12.
Example: three coins
Three coins are tossed together. Write the sample space and the event A: getting at least two heads.
- Each coin gives H or T, so there are 2 × 2 × 2 = 8 outcomes.
- S = {HHH, HHT, HTH, THH, HTT, THT, TTH, TTT}, n(S) = 8
- At least two heads means two heads or three heads.
- A = {HHH, HHT, HTH, THH}, n(A) = 4
n(S) = 8; A = {HHH, HHT, HTH, THH}
Every throw of the dice in Ludo or Paramapadham (snakes and ladders) is a random experiment with sample space {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}.
1 marks: “How many outcomes are there when three coins are tossed?” 2³ = 8.
2 marks: “A coin is tossed and a die is rolled together. Write the sample space.” S = {H1, H2, H3, H4, H5, H6, T1, T2, T3, T4, T5, T6}, so n(S) = 12.
5 marks: “A coin is tossed and a die is rolled together. Draw a tree diagram and write the sample space. List the events A: a head with an even number, and B: a tail with a number greater than 4. Are A and B mutually exclusive?” Tree with branches H, T, then 1 to 6. S has 12 outcomes. A = {H2, H4, H6}, B = {T5, T6}. A ∩ B = ∅, so A and B are mutually exclusive.
S holds every outcome; an event is a piece of S. Exclusive means no overlap; exhaustive means nothing left out.